Posted by
on Thursday, December 14, 2006 1:06:57 PM
Global Warming: Politics and Conflict of Interest Obscure the Facts
As you read in my recent posting on this subject, I point out that the earth has been warming and cooling seemingly forever. To assume that this time around it’s different and that the warming trend is due to the greed and rapacious capitalist sins of industrialized, fossil fuel burning Westerners is simply irrational.
Enemies of the West, ecozealots, radical environmentalists, and the sort, regularly employ computer modeled worst case scenarios and irrational thinking to drive their anti-America political agendas. But shouting out misinformation repeatedly, over and over and over, and getting Americas newspapers to act as megaphones to parrot such tripe, doesn’t make it true. It just makes it highly visible but it doesn’t make it true.
Why, one might ask, do our enemies and detractors want America to behave according to Kyoto Protocol standards? The simple answer is that adherence to the Kyoto Protocol requirements would damage our economy and ultimately weaken our nation. And to what purpose or end would America and the rest of the world (except for India and China which is about 1/3 of the rest of the world that is exempt!) willingly subject itself to the controls and economic constraints inherent in the treaty?
Get this! If all of the carbon reduction targets identified in the Kyoto Protocol were actually met, the overall reduction in average global temperature would be 0.2 degrees C! Or, said another way, the temperature change that we would have experienced in 2094 would instead be experienced in 2100. We get 6 years of delayed impact!
By the way, aren’t you just a little skeptical when so called global climate experts piously justify the establishment of carbon reduction public policy decisions on the basis of computer generated models purporting to show deleterious climatic changes 100 years from now but, the weather 30 days from now remains notoriously inaccurately forecasted? This is essentially the same body of experts who spectacularly wrongly predicted that 2006 was going to be the “mother of all hurricane years” in the US. In reality it was one of the quietest hurricane seasons in many decades. For crying out loud! Will someone please explain to me how we are to believe that this crowd of scientists can accurately and confidently model global climatic changes 100 years out but somehow an accurate and dependable 30 day forecast remains an elusive and mystifying challenge?
Scientist like Zbigniew Jaworowski, M.D, Ph. D.Sc., believe that global warming is caused by fluctuations in solar activity, other solar phenomenon associated with changes in the earths tilt that occur over tens of thousands of year cycles, and variations in cloud cover (water vapor is 96% of all earths greenhouse gases) caused by cosmic radiation from far away galaxies. This article is long but it is fascinating, factual, and really lays out the entire issue for the uninitiated or the person who would like to get up to speed quickly and through a trustworthy source.
Consider the fact that water vapor comprises anywhere from 96% to 99% of all greenhouse gases thus leaving “public enemy #1”,carbon dioxide, a measly 3% at most. Consider the fact that of that 3%, human caused carbon emissions account for no more than 0.5% at most. One article stated that a 1% increase in earths cloud cover would completely overwhelm any possible greenhouse warming effect up to even a doubling of the earths current carbon dioxide greenhouse gases.
There is nothing worse in business than to have observed a problem and then, in the rush to solve the problem, employ a costly, resource draining fix only to discover that it was not really the cause of the problem. Time and money is wasted on the wrong thing and to add salt to the wound, the problem still exists! Quality Improvement experts see this all the time and thus have developed specific disciplines and structures to avoid this particular, and often time’s, fatal mistake.
We seem to be lurching in a lemming like trance, toward the devouring abyss of feel good (save the planet!), wrongheaded thinking. Leading the way to the precipice are traditional media megaphones, political buffoons like Al Gore and certain politically correct, and financially conflicted academicians ($5 billion in research grants to loose) who have locked arms in a collective pied piper like, self delusional embrace.
If their thinking and policies are empowered through legislation and treaty, a large part of the world will find themselves to be involuntarily enrolled in their foolish but damaging experiment to manage the earth’s climate, only to find that the ever changing climate of the globe is subject to far greater and more powerful initial conditions than fossil fuel emissions. And by then, say in 2100 or so, we might very well be back on the Music Man like bandwagon of the 1970’s global cooling wannabe Nostradamus’s, singing through clenched and shivering jaws “we got trouble, yes we got trouble, with a capital T and that rhymes with C and that stands for COLD with a whole lot of ice coming at us”.
Beware the carbon stoked rage of ecozeolet Chicken Littles that torment us now with their incessantly shrill warnings of impending climatic cataclysm. The Dr. Kevorkian like cure they have in mind for our global economy is deadly serious business. Pay attention to the debate and pray for reason to prevail.